Regression-based Daugava River Flood Forecasting and Monitoring
نویسنده
چکیده
The paper discusses the application of linear and symbolic regression to forecast and monitor river floods. Main tasks of the research are to find an analytical model of river flow and to forecast it. The challenges are a small set of flow measurements and a small number of input factors. Genetic programming is used in the task of symbolic regression. To train the model, historical data of the Daugava River monitoring station near Daugavpils city are used. Several regression scenarios are discussed and compared. Models obtained by the methods discussed in the research show good results and applicability in predicting the river flow and forecasting of the floods.
منابع مشابه
Operational Flood Forecasting As A Web-Service
The paper presents flood forecasting and simulation system applied to a river flood analysis and risk prediction. An advanced river flood monitoring, modelling and forecasting approach is introduced. It extends the traditional approach based on modelling of river physical processes by integration of different types of models and technologies such as input data clustering and filtering, digital ...
متن کاملComparison of several flood forecasting models in Yangtze River
Abstract In a flood-prone region, quick and accurate flood forecasting is imperative. It can extend the lead time for issuing disaster warnings and allow sufficient time for habitants in hazardous areas to take appropriate action, such as evacuation. In this paper, two hybrid models based on recent artificial intelligence technology, namely, genetic algorithm-based artificial neural network (AN...
متن کاملFlood Forecasting Using Artificial Neural Networks: an Application of Multi-Model Data Fusion technique
Floods are among the natural disasters that cause human hardship and economic loss. Establishing a viable flood forecasting and warning system for communities at risk can mitigate these adverse effects. However, establishing an accurate flood forecasting system is still challenging due to the lack of knowledge about the effective variables in forecasting. The present study has indicated that th...
متن کاملWater Flow Forecasting and River Simulation for Flood Risk Analysis
The paper presents the state-of-the-art in flood forecasting and simulation applied to a river flood analysis and risk prediction. Different water flow forecasting and river simulation models are analysed. An advanced river flood forecasting and modelling approach developed within the ongoing project INFROM is described. It provides an integrated procedure for river flow forecasting and simulat...
متن کاملDesign and Implementation of a Mountain Torrent Disaster Warning System Based on the Distributed Hydrological Model
Mountain torrent disaster warning system is a significant non-engineering flood prevention measure for achieving the goals of flood prevention and disaster reduction in the related small rivers. After analyzing the design principle and objective of the system, we proposed a mountain torrent disaster warning system based on WEB GIS technology and the distributed hydrological model (DHM) of the r...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2014